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Why team motivation is an important factor in football betting
Motivation is sometimes a key factor behind unexpected wins and losses. Make better betting decisions using motivation to inform your next soccer bet
Published on 05 June 2019
Updated on 05 June 2019
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If you take a good look at sports betting, you will discover that team motivation can be a game changer in certain situations. Most of the time, massively gifted teams will lose games because they’re not well motivated for the occasion.
There is a popular saying that says that ‘Talent does not always win games’
This concept is most often applied when punters lose money to underdog or underrated teams, but the reverse can also apply.
Sometimes, the most talented team can be regarded as the underdog based on criteria other than, pure ability to play the game. Under certain circumstances and conditions, good teams may underrate poor teams.
However, as a sports bettor, you must understand that it’s not always the case. Sometimes the lesser team may want to put on a very good show and motivation can play a big factor in making this a reality. A lot of times when the lesser teams play at home, they tend to be very motivated to win against the bigger teams.
Bear in mind that football betting odds can sometimes be misleading and if you read between the lines, it’s sometimes easy for punters to discount motivation as a key factor within an upcoming match.
This means that you could discover the underdog is more motivated than the traditional ‘big guns’, who may be sometimes less motivated, if they’re not mentally conditioned to approach every team with the same intensity and respect.
As a sports bettor, you need to carry out your research to discover attractive soccer bets using motivations as a good place to start...
A lot of people talk about vengeance or revenge as a motivating factor in the online sports betting world.
Punters who only rely upon stats, may not consider how motivation is very important to the ‘how’ and the ‘why’ a specific stat, such as a winning run or a head to head record may exist.
That’s why punters should not overlook motivation as key element, but also as part of a wider contributing factor to the overall statistical performance of any team.
Why is team motivation devalued when it comes to betting?
The motivation of an opposing and competing team is often an undervalues factor in the result of football sporting games. It’s not unusual that one team has more to play for than the opposition.
As a punter, you must consider…What’s at stake? What happened in the prior games for both teams (their head to head)? What were the recent fixtures? What are their current league positions?
Remember that a group of players coming off a major and unexpected loss are be more likely to be driven to win than a team who themselves are coming off a slender win.
The motivation, in this case, is centered on team talent which is a significant factor to consider.
As a football punter, you have to understand team motivation and be on the lookout for perfect scenarios. Some football clubs are more motivated to win against other teams at various stages of the season.
Do you know that a team that is among the top four in the English Premier League, who have already wrapped up their Champions League qualification could be playing a team fighting for their lives in the relegation zone and are just one point from safety?
Under normal situations, you would bet on the top four team to win the match. Nonetheless, they have an important Champions League semi-final match coming up on Wednesday and have nothing to play for in the English Premier League.
Therefore, they may naturally have more motivation to play a fixture in the impressive Champions League match, whereas, a fixture against lower league opposition may not have the same plug on their emotions.
This may mean, the favourite may have little or no motivation to win the match against a low placed opponent, because they will surely rest their top stars to avoid any injuries.
Most people only believe in motivation when talking about the players on the field, but motivation could be something throughout the club hierarchy and therefore, infecting a winning team with a losing mentality and poisoning winning runs with potential losses.
On paper, the odds will still be within the favour of the team placed higher within the league table, but in reality, it's usually the outsiders who are motivated to win the match.
In most cases like this, when the soccer statistics are moving towards your favour. You may have a greater chance to back the underdog to win at enormous odds rather than trying to scalp trade on betting exchanges obtain smaller returns through soccer betting arbitrage.
The above scenario doesn't always occur, but when it does occur, you will continually kick yourself at having missed the opportunity. Obviously, things are never as easy, as I’ve described, but don't let the odds fool you.
Let’s use Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. as a case study
In the English Premier League 2018/2019 season. Wolves was one of the teams within the EPL that performed admirably against the top six teams in the Premier League.
Wolves' were always on another level whenever they played against the top six teams, which I would argue was helped by motivation; not just the players, but the club, the management, the fans and everyone connected with the club.
As an example, Wolves humiliated Arsenal FC trashing them 3-1, by doing so, they set a record during the 2018/2019 season.
Wolves won more Premier League games against the top six teams (4 wins) compared to the lower teams. This is what team motivation can do to an underdog.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Top Six, 2018/2019 English Premier League
* Manchester United 1-1 Wolves FC
* Wolves FC 1-1 Man City
* Arsenal FC 1-1 Wolves FC
* Spurs 1-3 Wolves FC
* Wolves FC 2-1 Chelsea FC
* Wolves FC 2-1 Manchester United
* Chelsea FC 1-1 Wolves FC
* Wolves 3-0 Arsenal FC
Check out the current injury list and suspension list
Injuries have a way of affecting the mood of a team most times. You need to know who’s out injured; the significance of that player and the quality of the replacement.
Some teams have ‘super subs’ (although they may not like that nickname), who are as skilled as the first-choice striker or midfielder and the crucial thing to note is that they are more motivated to prove themselves as first choice players. This trick is often used by managers and coaches to draw the best performance from their playing staff.
Therefore, occasionally it pays to back a team when their star player(s) are out injured. That’s because many less experienced punters will react excessively to injuries forgetting there are good value bets.
On the other hand, if there is more than one injured star player, or perhaps it’s the captain or on the pitch motivational leader of the team, then you should be wary, very wary indeed.
How can you use motivation for your next bet?
As we’ve examined; team motivation is an important element to consider as a recreational or professional punter. Motivation can be the difference between winning and losing a bet, which requires carrying out extensive research before placing bets, so you can attempt to be on the winning side.
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