What you need to do when you find football betting strategies that work?

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What you need to do when you find football betting strategies that work?

Why do you lose money betting soccer with successful soccer betting strategies and what you can do to improve your chances?



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Updated on 12 August 2018
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Betting Tips for Today's Football

Find more value in your next football bet. You could gain a betting edge by checking out the tips and stats for today's and tomorrow's fixtures...


What will you learn within this post?


This post is a little different to my previous posts, as I go into more detail about what you could be doing wrong and what you may need to do to put things right. It’s probably a little more hard hitting than some of my other posts, but I’ve been receiving countless emails from people that don’t seem to understand how football betting (and life) in general works.


So, I thought I should write this to give more information about what you may need to do to put things right and make sure that you’re not needlessly losing your money time and time again.


I’ve separated this post into different sections, so you can jump around and go back and forth to get the most out of the content.


Check out the different links below to the areas that are of most interest to you at any given moment, but I would advise you to come back regularly to check your progress against the Betting Experience Levels, as this will be the main factor that will affect your potential to return profits over the long-term.


* Why everyone cannot win football bets?

* What is your Betting Experience Level?

* How to increase your knowledge when betting soccer matches?

* Is there a mentality that could affect your betting?

Why everyone cannot win football bets?


Do you think an easy internet search will let you find a professional football betting system that works? Do you think that if you can find it easily with an internet connection, it would be hidden from evert other human on the face of the planet? What happens if everyone is successful and wins all their bets all the time?


Betting is not easy and everyone cannot win all the time or bookmakers will lose too much money and go bust. This means that you will NOT win anything!


If the previous paragraphs were hard reading, I hope you have the stomach to keep reading further, as this post may continue to feel very hard hitting for some of you.


However, it’s my hope that you will continue to read through and see where you could be going wrong, if you do, you’re more likely to come out the other side with a better view of soccer betting and ultimately, see how you can be successful over the long-term.

The truth behind the online betting and get rich quick dreams


If you believe that you can win riches with a quick search on the internet and by giving someone your credit card details, without putting in any effort, then I’m afraid that you will most likely lose your money over the long-term.


There are a number of key areas that may help you to win more football bets, but they’re anything but guaranteed. Unfortunately, in life there are no certain guarantees, just like the classic quote most likely from Benjamin Franklin…


“…but in this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes…”


Betting soccer is very similar to everything else that is uncertain and reliant upon multiple variables. How do you predict which team will win the coin toss at the start of a match? You can’t, well, the real answer is that you cannot predict the outcome with certainty, as a coin toss is 50-50 and given a large enough number of flips, the coin will always land on a statistically equal number of heads versus tails outcomes.


Who will score the first goal? You can make a prediction and also place a bet on the outcome of the goal scoring event, but you will not be able to predict with certainty, which player will score the goal. As a massive number of uncertain variables will all affect the outcome of the first goal scoring event; everything from divots on pitch, to the weather, players on the pitch and anything else that can be related to any other football match on the planet and affect the outcome in a positive or a negative way.


We could go through many different examples, but I’m hoping that you’re still interested in finding out how professional sports bettors could be thinking and how some of your other betting thoughts and behaviours may not be helping you to be successful.


First of all a short disclaimer and some guidance, so everyone understands my position, our point of view and some guidance for you to check your local laws.


I am not a professional sports bettor or a professional sports investor, I do not pretend to be part of a large group of people that have the inside track and hear the news from the professional footballer changing rooms. I am not trying to scam you, but some people will try to scam you.


Sure tips


I and my team cannot provide you with sure tips, as sure tips do not exist! Please stop asking trying to find sure tips on this website.


People selling sure tips will only lead you to the poor house. If you take nothing else from this post, please understand that there are many people on the internet trying to take your money and offering no value. Please do not give ANYONE your money if they’re claiming to provide you with sure betting tips with a 100% record. Sure tips are sometimes a scam and you can find out more by reading this post.


iwinsoccerbets is an online resource that is designed to give you as much information, data, hints, tips, tools and honest advice to help you make better soccer betting decisions.


We model and track football data from across the planet and provide you with tools (soccer predictions, soccer statistics databaseand expert betting help) to provide you within info, so you can make the best long-term soccer betting decisions for your pocket. This means we will always cut through the noise and give you the real data, as we’re not trying to just give you winners, but we’re giving you data, so you can get the best selections for you.


Recreational betting


I believe that betting is not just about choosing selections that will win, but finding the betting markets, the leagues, the teams that suit your style of betting. If you prefer to focus on value draw outcomes in 1X2 betting then we can help you with that, but if you prefer to concentrate on Goals Over or Asian Handicap betting then we can also help you make those decisions.


Legal in your geography


Finally, check out the legality of betting and online betting (in particular) within your geography. All countries are not the same and you may be surprised to understand the laws within your location. We wrote a previous article on the subject of betting regulations in different countries, which may provide some initial guidance, but you will need to check the laws within your location, as this area is subject to change.


Jeez! At least that’s out of the way now! Back to the more important stuff.

What is your Betting Experience Level?


Some professional sports gamblers or sports investors make a very good living by betting soccer matches, so how can they do it when the vast majority cannot?


This point will be covered in more detail within this post, as in my opinion there are four levels of soccer bettor:


1. The free online betting tips and sure tips searcher

2. The accumulator hungry big odds pay out gambler

3. The high-odds and underdog speculator

4. The soccer betting value investigator


At iwinsoccerbets, we give you help to move through the levels from level 1 to level 4, so you can truly take advantage of the information, data and options and give yourself a chance of long-term profit and betting success.


Let’s look at each of the stages, so you have an overview of the different traits of the different football betting styles, so you can understand how each of the different levels of sports betting could impact your long-term bankroll and affect your returns from any football betting strategy.

1. The free online betting tips and sure tips searcher


This is probably the majority of the people that find this website through the blog or other sources.


This person searches endlessly for the best free tips resources on the internet and will risk their hard earned money without too much thought behind where the product or service actually generated their tips.


This betting level may try to find sure tips and wonder why the services are not providing them with the free tips and information to help them win.


This person usually does not want to spend money, as they believe that everything should be given for free, as there are many options on the internet or different app marketplaces that offer a similar service.


Unfortunately, this person will continue to lose their bankroll over time and they will keep searching for the free betting tips that will never come. Don’t get me wrong, sometimes this person will win (relatively) big with free tips, but this is usually down to luck rather than judgement.

2. The accumulator hungry big odds pay out gambler


Level 2 is very similar to level 1, but this soccer bettor will review many different options and try to find the best selections to form part of their accumulator.


They may still use free online tipster websites, but they may at least try to understand the likelihood of different selections when compared to other selections within the same acca. This means the Level 2 bettor acknowledges that many bets are risky even if a free service has suggested a certain score line.


By taking the time to review different bets within multiple options, suggests the Level 2 soccer gambler is a little more sensitive to reality and usually understands the probability of multiple bets all winning is much lower than a single selection.


This person is starting to acknowledge the differences between different betting options and taking steps to make personal judgements on each acca bet.


However, by trying to get large returns with accas, the good work involved in reviewing each of the selections is almost removed by including each selection within a multiple. Multiple bets have the lowest probability and the potential returns in relation to the real risk, rarely adds up.

3. The high-odds and underdog speculator


If you see yourself always placing bets on the underdogs (or the non-favourites) when betting soccer, it is usually because you would like to increase your potential returns by including larger odds selections within your betting slip.


I would argue the soccer bettor who considers higher odds selections and reviews the data to understand if there is a potential for the underdog to beat the favourite, is taking a positive step towards making long-term judgements on expected value.


Providing you’re making a real choice and assessing the differences between the two teams and using the bookmaker odds as a guide to the potential returns and the potential value within the selection based on the probabilities, I would agree that you’re really on the right track to move to betting soccer based on value and your soccer analysis.


This is the only way to have any potential to maintain your bankroll over a significant period.

4. The soccer betting value investigator


In my opinion, I would say that moving between the lower betting experience levels to the more disciplined betting experience level, of a value investigator is the most important trait.


The highest level is focussed on value and should be where you initially focus your attention, as this will increase your likelihood of maintaining your bankroll over the long-term.


You will know if you’re a person that concentrates on the potential value, as you would be categorised as a person that will only place a bet if there is a statistical reason, a probability based argument and appropriate odds for favouring one selection over another selection.


Simply taking more attention and care over your selections is the key to this trait and trying to slowly refine your technique over time whilst maintaining your bankroll over a long period.

How to increase your knowledge when betting soccer matches?


Initially, I recommend that you take a closer look at your selections and the free tipping services. This will help you to understand why the bets were selected and try to identify the conclusions of the tipping service.


If you can reach the same conclusion by using value as a guide, it is most likely a good choice. However, if you’re only betting based on recommendations and not giving the selections any thought, then you’re at the mercy of someone that may not have your best interests at heart.


If you recognise that you’re simply placing bets without any care or attention, I would take a step back before placing another bet and try to generate your own betting model and soccer predictions by looking at the two teams and seeing if you would place the same bet.


The soccer statistics database can help you with information and this and the soccer predictions are based on models developed within iwinsoccerbets and they will sometimes include a number of selections that may help you to understand where value could be found within selections from other services.

Is there a mentality that could affect your betting?


The one fundamental mentality that will affect everything is Patience (or rather lack of patience)!


Yes. I understand that patience is something you may have heard before, but sometimes age old advice is the best advice!


Lack of patience and not understanding a long-term approach to sports betting is the one factor that will be extremely detrimental to your probability to return a profit over a significant number of bets.


Becoming a reliable soccer bettor that minimises risk to their bankroll while focussing on betting soccer value usually suggests a slow and a steady approach to football betting. This ultimately means that you will not get rich quick, as this is the exact opposite approach.


Getting rich quick usually signifies a high odds risk against an extremely unlikely selection that may not make sense from a value perspective.


This is why patience is the determining factor between you moving through the previous betting experience levels. If you’re impatient, you will be more likely to want a very quick way to make money and you’re more likely to risk your stake without careful consideration of the potential value.

This needless risk is then responsible for placing bets on selections that do not meet necessary expected value standards and could affect your long-term bankroll and future profitability.

Remember the idea is to return a profit over the long-term as Estimated Longest Losing Streaks could affect your potential winnings and the variance that occurs due to randomness and other unforeseen circumstances.


The only way to profit over the long-term is to focus your attention on value, maintain patience and keep improving your knowledge of betting and approach to evaluating selections and bookmaker odds to give you data based approach for long-term bankroll profitability.


Good Luck!


Tags: betting strategy

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