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Lay Away Win to profit today and enjoy tomorrow with lower risk
Find out if you can create a football lay betting system using or selection models? The data looks very promising...
Published on 22 November 2016
Updated on 23 January 2017
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How do you succeed using licensed and regulated betting exchanges when you want to make long-term money using form and statistical based analysis? It’s not an easy task, but there are a few high-rollers acting like bookies and delivering their customers (I.e. the average punter that backs) tempting odds.
How do these lay betting geniuses do it and how do the standard high-street and online bookies do it?
After looking through form of multiple football leagues around the world it has become clear that advised Home Win selections within IWinSoccerBets.com rarely end in an Away Win. This has been an eye opener. Even if the predicted Home Win does not materialise, the home team will more often than not draw the match. The away loss is very rare, so laying bets to make money could be a realistic option for many members.
Football lay betting system
If you run the numbers (based on the live results), you can see that approximately 80% of the Home Win selections end in a home win or a draw. This can be used for multiple betting scenarios, such as lay betting and Asian handicap betting.
Of course the losing 20% can be detrimental to winning long-term money, but that’s when statistics and form based selections come into play. There is a pattern to the teams that lose IWinSoccerBets.com selections, just as there is a pattern to certain teams beating other teams based on their historical form.
If a Home Win selection is incorrect on IWinSoccerBets.com, it is likely the home team scored first, which is another reason why understanding the flow of matches is critical to making long-term money. It’s not only the end result that is important, but the data within each individual match, the home team data compared to their opponent data and the combination of data across similar matches.
If the above paragraph doesn’t make sense then think about how the pre-match odds within a betting market change based on information about a team within the sports news (I.e. injuries, transfers, etc). Now if you extend that to the in-play odds, which also change based on what is happening during a match (i.e. goals, corners, shots, possession and red cards, etc) then you can see that bookies and punters take pre-match and in-game data very seriously.
So, if we can understand the nature of the matches rather than just the teams playing then we should be able to more confidently concentrate on laying bets to make money.
Can we use our data to create a football lay betting system?
Therefore, lay betting will also form part of IWinSoccerBets.com selections within the coming weeks, as we continue to improve the product for long-term betting.
Winning fast and easy money on sports betting doesn’t work. If it did, every punter would be rich and bookies would be out of business. If bookies think over the long-term then we should do the same!
Tags: trends, odds
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