It takes 3 minutes to find the best live odds soccer betting strategies

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It takes 3 minutes to find the best live odds soccer betting strategies

Taking your time reviewing selections before kick-off could pay in returns. How can you use live football betting strategies to your advantage?



Published on
Updated on 01 April 2019
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Betting Tips for Today's Football

Find more value in your next football bet. You could gain a betting edge by checking out the tips and stats for today's and tomorrow's fixtures...


Betting on live on sport and live football has become a major part of any punter’s life. It seems like many years ago when we had to wait for the fulltime results to come through on Soccer Saturday (if you’re in the UK) or other Final Score sports service.


We now have access to live information, live updates and up to the minute news, free kicks, injuries and replayed refereeing decisions. All of this can be used to find a great time to cash out and gain profits based on the expected value from your selections.

How do you know when it’s a good time to cash out?

Is it purely about the amount of money that you’re returning from the fixtures or are you basing your cash out decisions on the original odds, the effective cash out and the amount of money offered by bookmakers?

Either way, there would be no realistic method to conduct this kind of real time betting decision unless we had the online tools and apps, which can help and support you to make instant decisions.


If you consider the different options open to bettors, then it’s reasonable to believe that you could evaluate different matches and discover soccer statistics, which can help you to choose viable betting options. This may help identify where each bookmaker offers betting value across several live soccer betting selections.


The key is trying to select the moment when there is noticeable value within the bookmaker odds and the probability of the event occurring. Finding the difference between the bookmaker real-time odds and your mathematical handicapping of the events is where professional real-time bettors differ from the recreational betting public.

How can you tell if real-time odds offer value?

If the pre-match statistics for one team or event have not significantly changed over a set period, this means there could be scope to find opportunities where you can leverage your knowledge, which may be over and above the bookmaker knowledge.


If the odds for the event have increased during the game, this generally means the bookmaker has determined the probability has decreased, which means your previous match statistics could provide more value based on the correct score line, recent game play and flow of the match.


Obviously, if you predicted there was a 60% chance of Team A winning 3-0 against Team B, but Team B has already scored 2 goals, it’s obvious your bet would not be valid, so you must assess your probability calculations and the real-life situations.

Can bookmakers follow every betting market and betting line in real time?

It’s a common misconception to believe bookmakers will not possibly have experience within the different betting markets and betting lines, offered to their customers. There is no betting secret that Bookmakers and Xportsbooks do not need to be experts in every sport and every market within that sport. Bookmakers simply must provide their customers with data from odds services, which are built to provide information for the sportsbooks and bookmakers.


The professional odds setting, and manipulation services provided to some bookmakers are reliable tools to automatically set profit margins and match odds across a range of real-time sports. This means that bookmakers can be experts across many different sports without employing the personnel to crunch the numbers and present the ever-changing sports betting odds.

What are the different live betting and real-time betting strategies?

Using short odds favourites is a great place to start when considering real-time betting. There are two options for this betting strategy;


The first is backing the favourite to win at higher than normal odds after the favourite has conceded a goal. This is often an interesting tactic for recreational punters who may want to increase their odds and return cash out profits.


If you place a solid wager on a heavy favourite to win after they’ve conceded the first goal, it means the odds will immediately change, and therefore offer you with more betting value, which would not have been possible before kick-off.


Fundamentally, this means you may have the chance to withdraw funds at more favourable odds and provide the bookmaker with the dilemma of offering an unprofitable cash out where they stand to lose money if the favourite team scores a goal to bring the match back in to a level contest.


If you can identify the teams most likely to win their fixtures or score more goals. This means there is little risk on your side as the punter and more risk on the bookmaker side, as the favourite team will often win the fixture.


The second method is to use betting exchanges and lay the heavy favourite on the exchanges, providing a significant opportunity to provide upside in the event of the team scoring more goals and therefore winning the game.

This requires consideration and careful review of the match, so you can understand the twists and turns within the fixture and your real-time back bets are wagered at the best time to ensure you can take advantage of significant pricing changes.

Real-time hedging during football matches

If you choose to hedge bets within a live betting opportunity, this can be performed during the monitoring of the match flow and the team currently ‘on top’ of the fixture.

You can sometimes place bets on the ‘other side’, to ensure you receive a profit based on the odds changing during the live fixture and the bookmaker’s real-time odds changes, which are often provided by betting sites or on odds comparison services.

Player betting during set pieces; free kicks and penalties

This is sometimes a very lucrative betting area, but one that should be approached with a lot of caution.


There several set piece experts in world soccer, but even the set piece experts are not always the most reliable at scoring goals during a life fixture. YouTube or TV highlights always show the free kick experts scoring wonderful goals from outside the box, but this is not always the reality of the situation.


It probably makes more sense for you to place bets on the overall team performance and use your speculative betting against players who are more likely to perform. Rather than attempting to ‘predict’ when someone will score.

I suggest that you concentrate your betting on the overall likelihood of an event occurring, rather than a star player deciding to demonstrate a man of the match performance.


Good luck!



Tags: Bookmakers, odds

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