Find the most successful bets with this simple payout chart

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Find the most successful bets with this simple payout chart

Get soccer betting success with an odds payout chart, odds payout guide and an easy way to compare the relative risk for each of your 1X2, Goals Over 2.5 and Goals Under 2.5 bets



Published on
Updated on 28 July 2018
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Betting Tips for Today's Football

Find more value in your next football bet. You could gain a betting edge by checking out the tips and stats for today's and tomorrow's fixtures...


Do your betting results look like this?



Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss!


It’s not always easy to know the relative risk of each individual acca bet or singles bet and know your returns based on that risk. So, I’ve quickly put together this payout chart to give you a better indication of your potential bookmaker or betting exchange returns, implied probability and profits based on fractional odds and decimal odds.

Odds Payout Table





You collect your winnings and increase your bankroll, but what happens next?



Boom! You win another bet, but you want to know how much you will return from your next selection based on the risk of the previous winning bet.


I sometimes get caught with the same problem. I can easily find out how much I am due by using the info within the bookmaker app or exchange website, but it’s not so easy to understand the Relative Risk or the Expected Value of each bet.

Do you know the historical success rate based on your bet type?



I don’t know about you, but I would answer a big NO to that question. Having said that, there is only one way to find out a bet’s REAL historical success rate and that’s by using the data to reach a factual and data driven conclusion.


If we check out the historical success rate of the five main soccer betting markets, we can estimate the bookmaker payout for each bet type:


Home Win (1)

Draw (X)

Away Win (2)

Goals Over 2.5 (+2.5)

Goals Under 2.5 (-2.5)



For the purposes of this post, let’s concentrate on the English Premier League from 2015/2016 to 2017/18 season. This should give us a good feel about how the past few seasons may have affected the Implied Probability and the other factors on the odds payout chart, above.


Home Win (1)






Draw (X)






Away Win (2)






Goals Over 2.5 (+2.5)






Goals Under 2.5 (-2.5)





Relative betting risk



Now, if we take all that information and display the different success rates for each betting market within the English Premier League and then compare all of them. We can visually display the relative betting risk for each bet type against bookmaker odds!





This means that you can not only use the payout chart to estimate your potential betting returns, but you can judge if those same betting returns are worthwhile given the Estimated Longest Losing Streak and the relative risk of placing the bet.

What more could we do to help you?



The EPL example above, is only the start, as the same analysis could be applied to every country and every professional and amateur league within that country.


I definitely agree that it’s not always easy on this website to check out how much you may return and relative risk associated with those returns. So, we tried to put together this post to give a glimpse into the world of professional sports betting, where relative risk, expected losing runs and value are all used to make betting decisions.


Hopefully, over time you can use this information to make your bets more realistic and ensure you’re all losing less bets to the bookmaker.


Understandably, we’ll need to become better at choosing selections that are not only based on the odds value, but also other metrics. This is where football betting knowledge is important, and the reason for the existence of iwinsoccerbets.

We need your help to improve



We’re not where we need to be just yet, but if you keep giving your feedback and sharing what you need, we can make sure we’re providing the best information for recreational soccer bettors that just want to win more than they lose.


Good Luck!



Tags: betting hints and tips

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