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Learn how to be a good punter without needing betting secrets
Learn how to become a professional sports gambler, successful punter and good at soccer betting without using betting secrets to get you there!
Published on 09 October 2018
Updated on 09 October 2018
Betting Tips for Today's Football
Find more value in your next football bet. You could gain a betting edge by checking out the tips and stats for today's and tomorrow's fixtures...
Do you want the secrets of gambling success? Do you want to know how to use football betting secrets to make money?
Well, you’re not alone, there are countless thousands of people that all want the same thing as you. Everyone wants to become a successful punter and improve their soccer betting.
Sometimes this is not so easy, so if it’s not easy there must be a solid way for all of us to progress from a recreational sports punter (i.e. someone that bets without any structure) to someone that can focus on solid data and a statistical approach to finding more betting value.
You don’t need betting secrets, but you do need knowledge
I don’t believe you must be the best person who can understand every statistical concept, but you do have to take the time to appreciate some of the more detailed aspects of betting and the rules of gambling before risking any money.
Every discipline on the planet has several factors that can help you reach your goals. However, approaching the sports betting discipline like a game of chance is not the best option, if you want to progress to a more advanced stage of your betting journey.
Focussing on returns rather than value will hurt you
We all want to gain larger returns from a single bet and many professional sports bettors will search around for the best available odds before risking any money.
However, the professional soccer betting activities are planned and coordinated after identifying the best value betting options.
This means the overall need to obtain higher returns is secondary to a professional betting need to find selections that offer the best reward for the betting risk given the likelihood of a win. If that last sentence was not too hard to understand, you should understand the point.
Value and its cousin, expected value are the two key points that should control your betting.
If you’re thinking about how to become a professional sports gambler and you want to focus on football (or soccer depending on your location), you should understand that succumbing to the obvious lottery style greed or some other related betting disease will only hurt you in the long run.
Professional sports bettors will concentrate on one thing and that’s finding selections that offer realistic expected value given the other available options. If more money is placed on outcomes that concentrate on value, it is likely that over time more positive results will be provided for their efforts.
Knowing your limitations is important.
We all want to feel competent and we understand everything we put our minds to. Unfortunately, we cannot possibly understand everything. It’s impossible for all of us to be experts in every discipline and the more we look at any discipline, such as soccer betting, the more obvious it becomes that we do not know as much as we believe we should know.
Therefore, we must consider different approaches to compensate for our limitations, such as choosing resources that will fill our knowledge gaps, so we can get the best information with the least work.
Unfortunately, long-term betting success is not just about getting and using data, but also having options to use this data to get the best betting results.
No-one will every tell you all the sports betting success secrets, you will have to find them for yourself, as sports betting is as much about our ability to understand bookmakers, statistical soccer concepts, changing betting markets, overall betting trends and our ability to manage the challenging emotional triggers.
How to manage the emotional betting rollercoaster
The constant winning and losing that hits us during betting is not a good feeling for anyone unfamiliar with this emotional torment.
It’s not difficult to understand why some people give up betting and why some people unfortunately, become addicted due to the emotional responses based on our brain’s chemical reactions to betting ups and downs.
Some people are affected by this process more than others, but the same chemicals are running through all our brains. That’s why emotion should be removed from some of betting process, such as identifying possible betting selections.
If you can alter choosing selections, monitoring wins, recording losses and controlling reactions to positive and negative results, you will be on the right track to finding the best long-term approach to improving as a sports bettor.
The entire sports betting process is very emotional charged. Winning and losing are opposites and cause two completely different reactions. Sometimes the opposite feelings can occur back to back or you experience one feeling for a sustained amount of time.
If you’re experiencing a negative emotion after a win, it can be natural, but extremely damaging to search for the next good feeling. This is never a good idea, as it translates to chasing losses, even if you’re only really pursuing the emotional high.
Either way, you’re not acting like a professional sports investor that will approach everything with a level of understanding that reduces the ups and downs.
Remember if you’re having a recreational bet enjoy the process.
However, when you’re trying to make that leap from recreational punter to a more professional sports betting investor, some of this betting research and work is not necessarily fun or enjoyable, but it will involve deep concentration for a sustained period.
More complex aspects of professional soccer betting
You will ned to appreciate some of the complex concepts of sports betting, statistical analysis and understand how each of the concepts interrelate to provide a realistic value betting options.
There are many sources on the Internet that provide advice to gain more knowledge from Poisson calculations to expected value using each team’s attack and defensive strength, etc.
There are several well-known statistical papers (such as Dixon and Coles) written on the football predictions and goal distributions, which if not followed line-by-line should at least be understood, so you can fully appreciate what’s required to move from novice to experienced sports bettor.
Even some of the information on this website, is designed to give you a good grounding in what you could use to get you moving from where you are now to where you want to be. So, at a first step, I recommend that you start to review some of the football statistics data and start to familiarise yourself with finding sensible and not emotional betting options.
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