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Can your daily life affect your bets? Are you making the most of your betting opportunities?
How to understand where your bets are going wrong, so you can stop making the same mistakes and start making better betting decisions.
Published on 04 May 2019
Updated on 04 May 2019
Betting Tips for Today's Football
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Sport is an example of life, so bear with me, while I take you through my thought process…
Hopefully, this will help you to see around the corners and try to find extra areas where you can improve your overall betting. Fundamentally, if we go through life doing the same things, we will end up getting the same results and the same thing applies to your sports betting.
I thought about a day in the life of an average punter and what factors could affect that day and could the outcome of the bets be predicted based on what happened before the bet was placed?
Day in the life of a soccer bettor and punter
The alarm clock wakes you up with just in time to get into work. You jump out of bed, wash, grab something quick to eat and you’re now ready for the day.
It doesn’t really matter how you get to work, but you may walk, drive or use public transport to reach your work place, you may even check last night’s footy scores or the morning sports betting news and betting tips from your favourite football tipster on your way to work.
When you reach the office or work site, it’s probably more of the same, you’re often going through the motions and you’re sometimes acting on autopilot, as you’ve worked in the same place for several years and you can do much of the work standing on your head these days.
There isn’t a tremendous amount of a challenge and you’re spending most of your time streaming, gaming or surfing the internet.
At some point, you may grab a coffee before or after lunch, you may also chat with a colleague about tonight’s top of the table clash before your next meeting. It could be a champions league match or any other a top of the table clash where you could study the football form or acca form before making a betting selection, but instead you pick a team at random.
You know, risking money on that bet was probably another betting mistake, but you’ll have to wait until the evening to confirm your suspicions…
This is all sounds like standard stuff, but the major events above, completely ignore the smaller and some might say, minor events, such as the advertising that catches your attention or the snippets of conversations you over hear walking down the street.
Even if everything I’ve described is not directly evaluated, it still occurs within the same day and it will affect you in one way or another. This must be similar within soccer matches and the same must apply to our wagers.
Your selections are influenced by something you read or something a pundit says on the radio, YouTube or TV.
Combining all your experiences and interactions provides you with a rich tapestry of thoughts, feelings and emotions, which all help you to make a betting decision.
The more interesting point…some of the minor events will impact, affect and sometimes change the overall outcome of your day, your bets and sometimes your entire life.
For example, I bumped into an associate I hadn’t seen for a few weeks yesterday and this sparked a conversation, which I later remembered and referenced on a conference call. This conversation then generated another chat about specific actions we could both complete after that call.
If the day’s events hadn’t occurred in the exact same way yesterday, I may not have started thinking about actions and their consequences, and I may not have written this post!
Everything is interrelated and affects everything else, sometimes there is a small almost imperceptible affect, but other times the affect is much greater and much more obvious.
This is where betting and life intertwine. Yes, this may sound crazy, but if you don’t do something then how can you gain the benefit. If you don’t exercise, how can you gain the beneifts of exercise, if you don’t research topics, how can you become more knowledgeable on that topic.
So, the same must apply for work, life and wagers.
How can you stop the rot and find more realistic and intelligent betting options?
Have you thought about what value really means and how expected value could save you a lot of time? What about the meaning of odds and how bookmakers use them to present implied probability?
Have you looked at any real soccer statistics recently and do you understand how you can use betting tools to convert between different odds types? Or do you simply search for your preferred and trusted tipster to give you everything you need with no effort on your part?
If you’re not thinking about how your life choices, your personal effort and betting approach impacts your performance, you’re likely to lose money over the long-term. You may be lucky for a short period, but this is not likely to continue.
If your betting foundation is the opinion of retired players and soccer pundits, you ignore the value of smart money and you rely on a lottery win to finance your betting bankroll. You’re likely to find yourself on the wrong end of a losing streak now or in the future.
If you’re answering NO to many of the questions above and you still find yourself stuck in a rut, it might be time to evaluate your betting approach and make some different choices.
I know this post may not be what you wanted to read, but I’m here to help you make better betting decisions and some of those decisions will mean some hard work and learning for you.
I hope you want to join me on that journey…
Tags: betting zone
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