3 profitable football free tips every La Liga soccer fan must read

Subscribe

Recent Posts   Popular Posts   List Posts
 
Estimated Reading Time: 3 minutes

3 profitable football free tips every La Liga soccer fan must read

Do you use the best Spanish La Liga football free tips? Read more to learn 3 quick and easy Away Win betting tips and tricks to get more from your bankroll



Published on
Updated on 17 February 2018
Author:



Betting Tips for Today's Football

Find more value in your next football bet. You could gain a betting edge by checking out the tips and stats for today's and tomorrow's fixtures...


This post will show you how to bet on Spanish La Liga underdogs and prove that long-term Away Win betting profits are possible by simply looking at the data.

Many websites will provide you with something for free, but do they also tell you why they choose their selections? Blindly betting on a free website’s football predictions without knowing why they’re choosing those bets will only result in you losing your bankroll over the long-term.


1. Bet against the home favourite based on their league position



The big guns do not always win at home.


The home team, which is 5th or above in the Spanish La Liga will only lose about 15-20% of the time, but this 15-20% can be highly profitable! Check out the Spanish La Liga Home Favourite Compared to Away League Position betting model to see more proof.






The graph also demonstrates how this would have grown into a significant return, even after only 15-20% success rate.



If you had placed bets on every Spanish La Liga fixture where the home team is fifth or above from August 2017 to today (17th January 2018 - the time of writing this post) would have returned big profits through the period. This demonstrates that favouring the best teams on paper is not always the best option, as a small success rate can return significant profits.

Managing the losing streak
The main issue is bankroll management and giving up too soon, as it is difficult to return a profit if you were to stop due to an over ambitious staking plan or skipping fixtures. This betting model would have eventually returned a profit, but you would have to stick with the selections...even during the losing period. This historical losing period can be monitored within the Soccer Predictions model area, which provides a range of different models for you to review.



As you can see from the information above, this shows that you could have made a large amount of profits by going against the majority. Some of the winning bookmaker odds were extremely large and something that you would be unlikely to find if you stayed with the usual advice based on comments and opinion. Data will always beat sports pundit commentary.

2. Focus on the away win and the away expected value


If you followed the Away Expected Value Compared to Home Expected Value Spanish La Liga model, you would have returned over a staggering betting profit from the start of the 2017 La Liga season.



The screenshot below shows how this betting could have provided the returns as described, above.







Focussing on the away team having a higher Expected Value (EV) than the home team will mean the bookmaker odds and the winning probabilities are stacked in your favour. This will help you to select the best matches to give you the most value for the away team, which translates into increased profits if you’re successful.



This focus on value does not always provide good results, but for the Spanish top league the away expected value is the most appropriate bet and will help you make betting better decisions over the long-term.



More information on expected value is in another blog article, but you can easily follow the Spanish La Liga Away Expected Value Compared to Home Expected Value model selections to make sure you’re getting the best betting options across all Spanish La Liga fixtures.

3. Recent away performance more important than home performance



If you remove Barcelona and Real Madrid, as the stand out teams within the Spanish top flight, you’re left with a number of teams that can compete against each other with varying results. The usual trends are not easily discovered, but you can sometimes find hidden information if you can look deeply at the data.



This is where the recent Away performance is more important than the home performance when the average bookmaker odds are over 2.00. If you followed the Away Performance Compared to Home Performance Spanish La Liga model throughout the 2017/2018 season with the above odds, you would have returned a respectable profit when only winning 40% of your bets.







The away performance within the Spanish La Liga demonstrates that the home team (although they may have the home advantage, it may not always provide the best approach for placing bets. you can sometimes get more bank for you buck by taking a long-term view of your selections and understanding that the overall profits matter more than how often you win bets.



The only way to handle this correctly is to take a look at long-term bankroll management and you can make better progress to more profitable long-term selections. Remember, your betting money should never touch the money you need to live.



Good luck!



Tags: odds

Share Post On:    
Share on Facebook. Opens a new window    Share on Twitter. Opens a new window    Share on Google Plus. Opens a new window

Short URL: https://iwinsoccerbets.com/zQVnmKsui

<< Previous Post
3 hacks to save money and reduce football betting risk. Tips are never 100 percent accurate

Next Post >>
How to bet on football using a live football stream

How do you increase betting odds and returns from football bets? Tips and Predictions are risky and online odds can rapidly change. More bang for you buck!Discover how to bet on football and improve betting performance whilst watching a live football stream.

Related Blog Posts



Recent Blog Posts

 
How Internet bookies and exchanges have improved the betting experience

How Internet bookies and exchanges have improved the betting experience

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Betting is not the same everywhere, so choose the best experience for your pocket and your personal enjoyment
- Updated: 29 June 2019 | Bookmakers, betfair


Why would you want more than one bookmaker or betting exchange account?

Why would you want more than one bookmaker or betting exchange account?

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Get more betting opportunities with multiple bookmaker or betting exchange accounts
- Updated: 27 June 2019 | Bookmakers, betfair


Internet Betting Slip vs Physical Betting Slip? Is Online Betting Really Any Better?

Internet Betting Slip vs Physical Betting Slip? Is Online Betting Really Any Better?

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Your local betting shop might be better for you than your betting app?
- Updated: 22 June 2019 | Bookmakers


Bookmaker sign up bonuses, free bets and betting websites offers

Bookmaker sign up bonuses, free bets and betting websites offers

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Know how to identify if that next bookmaker bonus will help you or hinder you?
- Updated: 22 June 2019 | Bookmakers


What is a Yankee Bet? How does a Yankee Bet work?

What is a Yankee Bet? How does a Yankee Bet work?

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Gain more Yankee betting knowledge, so you know when to use this cover/insurance bet and potentially minimise losses
- Updated: 21 June 2019 | Bookmakers, odds


What is a Patent Bet? How does a Patent Bet work?

What is a Patent Bet? How does a Patent Bet work?

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Understand how a Patent Bet can help you to gain returns even when you lose
- Updated: 21 June 2019 | Bookmakers, odds


Basics of Cold Trading on betting exchanges and knowing when to trade the markets

Basics of Cold Trading on betting exchanges and knowing when to trade the markets

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Is it realistic for you to cold trade betting exchanges?
- Updated: 14 June 2019 | betfair


How to choose the best online bookmakers for your sports bets

How to choose the best online bookmakers for your sports bets

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

How to choose where to place your next bookmaker bet
- Updated: 10 June 2019 | Bookmakers


Why team motivation is an important factor in football betting

Why team motivation is an important factor in football betting

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Why you should identify motivation as a foundation of your next favourite vs underdog wager
- Updated: 05 June 2019 | betting strategy


The top 10 football analysis tips to smash your success rate

The top 10 football analysis tips to smash your success rate

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Using long-term soccer information and performance data for success rate improvements
- Updated: 28 May 2019 | betting zone


What is scalp trading and how to scalp trade on betting exchanges?

What is scalp trading and how to scalp trade on betting exchanges?

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Get professional trading skills, so you can get the most out of betting exchanges and earn profits
- Updated: 26 May 2019 | betfair


Are you confused by hedging? Review the top hedging options for your next soccer bet?

Are you confused by hedging? Review the top hedging options for your next soccer bet?

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Every soccer punter needing an edge should understand hedging?
- Updated: 25 May 2019 | betting strategy


How to start your successful sports betting or professional gambling journey

How to start your successful sports betting or professional gambling journey

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

If you’re consistently losing, you’re not doing something right…
- Updated: 17 May 2019 | betting strategy


How to use OPTA stats and betting stats to become a profitable football punter

How to use OPTA stats and betting stats to become a profitable football punter

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

How to leverage your sports betting with reliable data and deep analysis
- Updated: 14 May 2019 | trends


8 gambling myths to avoid if you want long-term sports betting profits

8 gambling myths to avoid if you want long-term sports betting profits

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Learn why you should ignore bankrupt punters with no track record?
- Updated: 13 May 2019 | betting tips and tricks


How to recognise your common betting mistakes are more than beginners bad luck

How to recognise your common betting mistakes are more than beginners bad luck

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

How to make better betting choices by removing common betting mistakes
- Updated: 12 May 2019 | betting zone


Advanced soccer betting strategies using historical football data for popular betting markets

Advanced soccer betting strategies using historical football data for popular betting markets

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Try something a little different and take your betting to the next level using more advanced betting techniques
- Updated: 11 May 2019 | betting strategy


5 reasons why you should consider bookmakers before betting exchanges

5 reasons why you should consider bookmakers before betting exchanges

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Bookmakers vs Betting Exchanges; why you should keep using Bookmakers
- Updated: 09 May 2019 | Bookmakers


How to start a useful sports blog and popular online sports service for free

How to start a useful sports blog and popular online sports service for free

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

How and why you need to get started on a sports website
- Updated: 09 May 2019 | betting zone


What are database statistics and why are they important for football betting?

What are database statistics and why are they important for football betting?

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Get more soccer stats and improve your betting knowledge
- Updated: 07 May 2019 | betting hints and tips


Can your daily life affect your bets? Are you making the most of your betting opportunities?

Can your daily life affect your bets? Are you making the most of your betting opportunities?

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

How to make better sports betting choices and discover more about betting markets
- Updated: 04 May 2019 | betting zone


The meaning of Both Teams to Score (BTTS) and how to find good BTTS bets

The meaning of Both Teams to Score (BTTS) and how to find good BTTS bets

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

What is Both Teams to Score and how to find suitable selections?
- Updated: 04 May 2019 | betting strategy


You need more than bookmaker odds to accurately predict the most trusted sporting events

You need more than bookmaker odds to accurately predict the most trusted sporting events

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Sometimes the obvious data, such as bookmaker odds may not help you profit over the long-term.
- Updated: 24 April 2019 | Bookmakers, odds


Why you should understand the meaning of a football handicap before your next bet

Why you should understand the meaning of a football handicap before your next bet

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

An easy to follow football handicapping explanation with examples
- Updated: 22 April 2019 | Bookmakers


Why you should stop betting to earn extra money from home?

Why you should stop betting to earn extra money from home?

(by iwinsoccerbets)   

Why you should quit betting if you want an easy way to make extra money
- Updated: 13 April 2019 | betting zone


1234567