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2 easy to use betting strategies to improve your soccer accas (accumulators)
How can you improve your chances of winning soccer accas when soccer matches are filled with random events and low odds betting markets?
Published on 16 November 2017
Updated on 26 December 2017
Betting Tips for Today's Football
Find more value in your next football bet. You could gain a betting edge by checking out the tips and stats for today's and tomorrow's fixtures...
You can improve your acca success rate by picking your selections before checking market prices, rather than trying to forecast the market before the event. Ideally, you want your soccer knowledge to stand alone rather than waiting to see the betting market reaction.
Judging betting markets is difficult and part-time sports bettors and professional sports gamblers spend many hours looking at market movements to understand betting market patterns.Your time is most likely limited, so detailed analytics of market movements may not be the most sensible use of your time. It makes more sense to use an odds checking service that can provide that market overview. So, the the main areas of acca focus should be:
1. Consistent team performance
2. Superior market knowledge
1. Consistent 1x2 Home Win Team Performance
Always check out the Consecutive Home Win and Consecutive Away Win record. A focus on Home Wins, which is the most likely occurrence across football leagues is the most realistic option and provides you with the opportunity to succeed when others focus on unrealistic long-shots and long odds selections.
It seems reasonable to assume that if a home team wins, they could be on a winning home streak. It could also be possible that the losing opponent (i.e. away team) may be on a losing away streak. If we look at the data from the top soccer divisions, we can see that if a home team has won at least one consecutive home game and their away opponent has lost at least one consecutive away game, the home team is more likely to win the selection if their odds are 1.51 and above.
You can use this data across the leagues above, which may help you make bets based on real historical data and not random recommendations from sports pundits.
If you were to apply this across all leagues playing across a single day or weekend, this could give a few interesting options. We could find a multitude of possible fixtures that could match the criteria and would bring about some less risky accas.
2. Focus on betting markets where you can know more than the market
Finding value is the one area that makes all sports betting enthusiasts pull out their hair. Where can you find value? What is sports betting value?
Value is first and foremost gained through knowledge and not only through the odds provided by your bookmaker or sportsbook. Odds usually come from the market, the market reactions, the need to make a profit from both sides of the bet and many other factors that we will never truly know.
If you want to gain true value, you have to look deep into a particular betting market that is less popular, so you can truly understand more than your fellow sports bettors and the bookmakers. You can find value in your knowledge and experience of a particular market rather than just by the odds provided on an event.
One example is the Draw No Bet betting market, which provides reduced odds by eliminating the draw as a betting option and returning the stake, if the selection ends in a draw. Therefore, reducing three possible outcomes to two. Increasing your chances of winning, but reducing the payout if you do win.
This market is not very popular with you average punter, so it could be something that could work in your favour. Could you become an expert in the Draw No Bet market and clean up by slowing getting more and more profit over time? It's possible, but something that would require a little research to find the best options.
Remember...increasing betting risk naturally increases your profit potential, so you have to balance sensibly the number of selections and the odds of each selection across your accumulator. It makes more sense to reduce the acca risk, but at the same time; getting rewarded with a good pay out for risking your stake on multiple independent matches. Everyone wants a 1000x or 100x return, but it could still be a good weekend if you produced multiple 5x or 10x returns instead?
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