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13 secret betting tips and tricks to win football bets like the pros
Turn 13 into your lucky number. Why do some sports bettors know how to win football bets every time? Learn what sharps and wise guys do that you don't...
Published on 15 December 2016
Updated on 01 January 2017
Betting Tips for Today's Football
Find more value in your next football bet. You could gain a betting edge by checking out the tips and stats for today's and tomorrow's fixtures...
While figuring out how to win football bets every time would be a dream scenario for the occasional sports bettor, the truth is that the odds are slightly stacked against you.
Normally, at your local betting shop, your online bookmaker or your dream trip to a Las Vegas sports book; you may be gambling on a football or soccer game. In this scenario you will need to bet 11 of your currency to win 10; with that pound, dollar or euro difference being a sort of transaction fee. This means that you have to win roughly 52.4 percent of the time just to break even!
That doesn't mean you have to have a huge 70 percent winning percentage to win consistently. In fact, many pro sports bettors usually win at an average rate of 55 percent and the number rarely skews higher than that.
Instead, these bettors use tips and strategies involving money management, team and match analysis, soccer statistics database, odds monitoring and careful consideration of potential upsets.
The following list provides you with 13 tips or tricks, which pro bettors use in relation to soccer. To many, this is still the best way to bet on football.
1) Manage Your Bankroll
Pro bettors actually follow the tactic of managing money very closely. This means figuring out what your total bankroll is and never spending and betting more than you can afford.
These people don't commit to one specific game, but rather keep the bets small. The common tip is that you should bet no more than 3-5 percent of your overall bankroll. That means if the bankroll is 100, then don't bet any more than 5 on any single game.
2) Shop for the best betting odds
Pros tend to look at several odds checking services, bookmakers or sports books for the odds of specific football games. Based on which team the bettor believes will win, then the bettor tries to find the best odds to make a profit. For instance, you believe that a specific game is ripe for an upset. Then, you want to find odds, which present the best price for the underdog, thus providing the possibility for the highest monetary return.
3) Keep records of your betting
In an effort to make sure you’re managing your bankroll; keep track of every bet you make and the eventual result. This way, you can make sure you aren't blowing most of your bankroll during a bad run.
4) Avoid the multi-bet or acca scenario
Having a five-bet pool or acca where you win more if you get all five right sounds promising and a lot of fun. However, the odds of one of the games going against your picks gets greatly enhanced. Your five-picks tend to become money losers over time, so you may want to avoid them altogether and focus on single-game betting. I know it’s not as much fun and your potential winnings are reduced, but you’re more likely to win money over the long-term.
5) Understand the Asian-handicap system
In football and soccer, the goal spread or Asian-handicap is often more crucial than who is actually favoured. If a goal spread seems large, be careful as to your betting as most football games are relatively close. Understanding each goal spread per game is the best way to bet on football. Sometimes, a team may lose but this is covered by the eventual goal spread and therefore, the bet actually wins.
6) Consider underdogs when they play at home
When it comes to tips to win football bets, don't always bet on the favourites. Sometimes, the underdogs tend to win. Normally home underdogs do well in soccer. Underdogs tend to be slightly undervalued, especially if there is an Asian-handicap involved.
7) Figure out the right time to bet
Don't place your bets at any time. Goal spreads tend to change over the course of a week. Instead, you should figure out an acceptable number to make a bet on a particular game. If the number comes up at a certain bookmaker; be willing to jump on it, because it can change at any time. If the number never comes up during the week, then it may be wise to take a pass on that particular game.
8) Know when to increase and decrease bets
There is no exact science when deciding how to win football bets every time. You are bound to suffer some losses or hit a bad streak now and then. The key is to show prudence and patience when such streaks occur. Many note that amateur bettors get into trouble after a bad day. They feel they have to increase bets in hopes of recouping the money as fast as possible. In actuality, a hot streak is when you want to start increasing individual bets. If you are in a dry spell, decrease each bet.
9) Develop an expertise for a particular region or area
In world soccer, there are a variety of countries, leagues and teams. Start learning more about teams in a given league. It should also be known that the more familiar a team is with an opponent, the closer an outcome usually occurs so underdogs may be even more common when betting in a particular league or country.
10) Be conscious of team streaks
One of the lesser known tips to win football bets is to be aware of how well - or how poorly - a team is playing. As in gambling, a team can go through hot streaks and cold streaks. Sometimes, riding a team through a hot streak (or recognising their mounting losses) can lead to a different bet which turns out right.
11) Recognise motivation and intangibles
Sometimes, a team is extra motivated for a certain game. Be wary of this because this means that a team may play inspired and result in a much different outcome than many sports books and bookmakers price in their odds. Therefore, be careful of derbies or intense rivalries. It may be wise to avoid these games altogether given their unpredictability.
12) Leave favouritism out of your selections
Some pro bettors deliberately choose not to bet on their favourite teams for fear of being biased toward them. Some bettors don't even have favourite teams. Avoid the trap of rationalising the loss by your favourite team.
13) Don't keep betting on the same team
A common gambler's fallacy is the fact that a bettor or punter places a bet on a certain team and keeps losing. Instead of moving on, they keep betting on the same team under the false premise that they are bound to win on that team at some point. Take each bet as for its own individual outcome.
After looking through the 13 Betting Tips for Football, Soccer and Sports in General; it may be a good idea to commit each of the different elements into your regular betting routine. This could be a way to critique your tipster, reduce your liabilities and increase your betting returns and winnings over time.
Tags: Bookmakers, odds
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